UPDATE: THIS ENTRY HAS BEEN CROSS POSTED AT THE NEW BRANDSTORY BLOG WHERE I NOW WRITE. I'D BE HONORED IF YOU WOULD CLICK THROUGH AND ADD IT TO YOUR BOOKMARKS.
Last week I heard a few minutes of NPR's On The Media, where Bob Garfield laid out a doomsday scenario for broadcasters (transcript here). Bob said:
"A little over a year ago, we floated a theoretical chaos scenario. It goes like this. Mainstream media, especially network TV, lose so much audience, they can no longer attract the advertising revenue they need to sustain their content, leading to still more audience defection, then more advertiser defection, and so on into the toilet, all before the on-line brave new world is ready to take over. In this past year, plenty has happened to add to the chaos. TiVo and DVR usage is rising, with Forrester Research estimating that by 2008, one in four households will be DVR'ing their favorite shows and skipping past commercials. ITunes has started selling hit TV shows for $1.99, and now all the networks are offering free streaming content on their websites. More options for us, and more jeopardy for the old model."
Sounds like the premise for Joseph Jaffe's recent book, Life After the 30-Second Spot, which lays out the same nightmare and about ten different alternatives to traditional, interuptive advertising.
Joe's not the first person to argue that the 30 second spot is on life support and that consumers are about to pull the plug. Even he admits that the death of the 30 is, by now, a cliche. But it is coming. And marketers who are willing to take a few risks and try new ways to reach their audience may actually look back and agree with Joe that "there couldn't possibly be a better time to be working in this business."
Jaffe's book outlines (in detail) many causes of death for the 30 second spot: fragmentation, commoditization, information overload, clutter, crappy advertising, better educated consumers, and so on. Then he lays out a few ideas for rethinking the way marketers engage consumers. My favorite quote comes from Chapter 9: Re:think Advertising: Make Advertising Relevant Again. Jaffe writes,
"There's a rather putrid stench emanating from the world of advertising right now. And if you can't smell it yourself, then you're either used to it or you've lost your sense of smell altogether (in which case, it's time to consider another career)."
Here, here.
Jaffe goes on to detail newish areas where marketers can get their message and brand in front of consumers: Internet, gaming, experiential marketing (emphasis on physical contact with the brand), search, consumer generated marketing, and more. But Jaffe doesn't just provide his thinking on the matter. He also includes several short essays by other marketing experts to back up his thinking. Some of these extra essays are better than others, but all provide food for thought. It's not that there's a lot new here, but Jaffe wraps it all up very well in one place.
Clearly the jury is still out on the effectiveness of some of these avenues. Do gamers really respond to ads displayed on their PS2s? Do gift bags stimulate trial or simply eat up placement fees? Did subservient chicken or BMW films really sell anything? Some of the ideas Jaffe lays out will work better than others. But the fact remains, the 30 second spot isn't working like it used to, so why not try something different (and hopefully effective)?
Overall, this book is a good read. I get the feeling that Jaffe's just scratched the surface and has even more to say on the subject. If you're looking for an overview of where advertising/marketing may be headed in the future, check out Life After the 30-Second Spot.
Also of interest:
Joe Jaffe's Blog, Jaffe Juice.
Get a free chapter from Jaffe's book, here.
Buy the book from CEO-READ, here.
The first half of Jaffe's podcast with American Copywriter.
Full disclosure: Mr. Jaffe practices what he preaches, when it comes to consumer generated marketing. I got my copy of the book on the condition I would read and review it. I agreed, noting that if I didn't like the book, I would say so (I've done that before). Mr. Jaffe had no hesitation, saying, "...all I ask is an authentic review."
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